Big Picks

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Illustrative distribution of average profit from 100 independent $100 bets at +110 with a 52.4 percent win probabilityGray bars represent losing average outcomes; gold bars represent profitable average outcomes. Taller bars represent more likely outcomes. The expected average is positive but losing outcomes remain possible. This is an illustrative probability model, not recorded betting results; the central range is shown.
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Find your kind of edge.

Positive EV

Find bets priced above their estimated fair value.

Explore the EV board

+EV dashboard

Jalen Brunson
NBA
+7.5%EV
Over 24.5PointsFanDuel
Odds
+110
True Prob
51.2%
Stake
4.79u

How to read
the numbers.

Compare like-for-like prices, interpret player projections, and understand how probability affects EV and stake size.

Odds & EV guide

Comparing odds

Match the player, line, and bet type before comparing prices. Different lines describe different outcomes.

View the EV board

Player projections

A projection estimates a player’s output. Compare it with the posted line and recent results; it is not a guaranteed outcome.

View player research

Expected value (EV)

At +110 odds, break-even is 47.6%. A 51.2% win estimate gives +7.5% EV per dollar staked.

How EV is calculated

Kelly sizing

Kelly estimates a bankroll fraction from probability and odds. A smaller multiplier reduces the suggested stake.

Staking calculators

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